Your supply grows from ground you have never seen.
For those who buy what living systems produce, and who depend on it still being produced in ten years.
A supply chain begins in the soil.
A contract names a supplier, a volume and a price. Beneath the supplier is a plantation, a forest or a field, and beneath that a living system whose condition decides what it can go on yielding.
Almost none of that reaches the buyer. You see the harvest, and you are told it will be repeated.
Continuity is assumed, not declared.
Audits inspect practice and certificates confirm process. Neither tells you the condition of the system the supply comes from, or how long it can carry the load placed on it.
The first sign of a failing source is usually a missed delivery, and by then the cause is years old.
A shortage is an effect. Its cause was set seasons earlier.
Know the source, not only the supplier.
Origin Risk declares the condition of a living system on a stated date: its age in the sense that matters, the state it is in, and the time it has left in that state.
Set beside the volume you need, it shows whether the two still meet.
Choose sources with the time left in view.
You can see which sources will hold, which are being drawn down faster than they recover, and where to place commitments before a competitor or a failed crop does it for you.
Supply stops being something you hope for and becomes something you can plan against.
The method, in outline.
- Identify the living systemWhat it is, where it sits and how far it extends, drawn to the scale at which it can be read.
- Read its condition against the StandardThe same questions, asked the same way, of every system, so that two declarations can be compared.
- Declare its state on a stated dateA dated statement of condition and time remaining. Not a prediction of what will happen to it.
- Declare again as the condition movesEach declaration can then be held against what happened next.
The method is disclosed in outline. The weightings and the component model behind each declaration are not published.
The first standard of its kind.
The Biological Time Classification Standard was authored by Matthew Ross. It is the first published standard for declaring the condition of a living system, and the language of this page comes from it.
The classifications themselves are not published openly. They are available to registered readers and to those who commission a declaration.
Begin with the supply you cannot afford to lose.
We take a small number of enquiries and ask a few questions first. Write to us with:
- Your organisation and your role
- The commodity and the regions it comes from
- The volume and the horizon you need secured
info@originrisk.com
Enquire